Daily Archives: September 8, 2010

July Payment for Direct Mail

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This is direct from Chris Doherty Pre-primary Report (ND) Financial Filing with the State:

7/30/2010 Mad Dog Mail
5542 First Coast Highway Fernandina Beach, FL 32034 Direct Mail $17,864.68

Since I have been challenged via email and post on LIL to show how I ” came to the opinion” that the Doherty campaign was responsible for the poll and since the date of some of the expenditures were cut off, I figured I’d explain my reasoning

It wasn’t hard to connect the dots:
1) See Chris’s filing and the payment dated July 3oth to MAD Dog
2) See the MAD DOG web site and the Target page that clearly states they use a company called National Research to conduct ” cutting-edge, advanced targeting studies like CHAID analysis, turnout probability modeling or individual targeting analysis.”

Combined with the fact I didn’t recall getting any direct mail flyers in July , I believe the first ones arrived around the 10th of August it made it pretty easy to see that the Company hired to do direct mailings is the company that did the polling based on those items and if you include Chris’s awful appearance on WCAP where he stumbled and fumbled in answering about his campaigns involvement and with no expenditures listed by Pat O’Connor and James Buba listing only $155.94 it was an easy conclusion.

What I do find funny is the number of Doherty supporters attacking the numbers on another Blog but not on this one. I welcome all people to post and engage in an exchange of ideas. If I am wrong, show me.
Facts are facts and I welcome any challenges to dispute any of the items listed above.

New Doherty Flyer gets a Voters attention

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In today’s mail we received the most vicious campaign flyer yet from the Doherty campaign and I haven’t even seen it!

My wife just called me at work and sent me a cell picture because she couldn’t believe that anyone would call someone a puppet, send a picture of their opponent with a crown on her head with a caption on the page that says stop the coronation and attacks her for her work in the defense case involving the illegal immigrant before she entered public life. She said it is so unbelievable that she had to call and tell me about it. She really sounded shocked that this ad seemed to be such a personal attack at Eileen.

My wife dislikes politics and usually ignores political flyers but this one sure caught her eye and I guess you have to say that if the Doherty campaign wanted to get voters attention, mission accomplished . If what he wanted is to have made the AD so outrageous that people would read it instead of tossing it, it seems to have worked, at least at my house.

However for someone who dislikes politics like my wife, the ad showed the worst of a campaign, resorting to stunts, innuendo and name calling with 7 days to go before the primary. This is what is wrong in politics today and some voters will be so turned off by this ad they will vote against the person who sent the ad

My wife is one of those people, she just said that no matter what a nice guy he appears to be (she saw me talking with him at Kimball’s) after that flyer she would never vote for him. Wonder how many other voters will feel the same way??

UPDATED: I have seen the Flyer and it is juvenile, if you haven’t received it go to Left in Lowell where Lynne has posted it. Also to clarify some of Doherty’s charges I sent an email to Conor Yunits to get his response and he sent me the following:

First off, LSG is primarily a strategic communications firm, and neither Scott Ferson, myself, or Matt Patton – the only LSG staffers who have been involved in Eileen’s campaign, are lobbyists. Secondly, we are not managing the campaign. Melissa Roberts, a 23 year-old recent BC grad, is the campaign manager. Melissa has done an amazing job organizing supporters in advance of Tuesday’s election. To say that LSG is running Eileen’s campaign (as he is claiming) is to enormously discredit the hard work of Melissa and the rest of the field team. All that we are helping with is media and communications strategy. Chris Doherty also has media strategists working on his campaign. Like all of his other slanders of Eileen, this one is completely without merit.

-Conor

1st Middlesex Senate candidates file finance reports…Who paid for the Poll??

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targeting

Over on richardhowe.com Dick has a breakdown of Eileen Donoghue’s contributors/expenses and will be doing the same for Chris Doherty’s which is on-line now.

I was more interested to see who if anyone would list polling has an expenditure. Thinking back to July and the furor over what the Donoghue camp felt was a “push” poll being conducted. Chris Doherty denied commissioning the poll and stated he didn’t believe in push polls.

So looking at the expenditures for the Doherty campaign this caught my eye:

Mad Dog Mail
5542 First Coast Highway Fernandina Beach, FL 32034 Direct Mail $17,864.68
8/10/2010 Mad Dog Mail
5542 First Coast Highway Fernandina Beach, FL 32034 Direct Mail $21,127.32
8/20/2010 Mad Dog Mail
5542 First Coast Highway Fernandina Beach, FL 32034 Direct Mail $6,707.24

While looking at Eileen’s Printing I saw this:

4/21/2010 Connolly Printing
17B Gill Street Woburn, MA 01801 Mailing $720.23
4/14/2010 Connolly Printing, LLC
17B Gill Street Woburn, MA 01801 Printing $796.98
5/7/2010 Connolly Printing, LLC
17B Gill Street Woburn, MA 01801 Inv. #3861 Printing $1,178.31
5/17/2010 Connolly Printing, LLC
17B Gill Street Woburn, MA 01801 Inv. #3875 Letterhead & Envelopes $869.66
6/30/2010 Connolly Printing, LLC
17B Gill Street Woburn, MA 01801 Inv. #4013 Printing $590.75
7/1/2010 Connolly Printing, LLC
17B Gill Street Woburn, MA 01801 Inv. #3971 Printing $470.05
7/1/2010 Connolly Printing, LLC
17B Gill Street Woburn, MA 01801 Inv. 3985 Signs $2,610.03
8/6/2010 Connolly Printing, LLC
17B Gill Street Woburn, MA 01801 Inv. #4172 Signs $1,099.69
8/6/2010 Connolly Printing, LLC
17B Gill Street Woburn, MA 01801 Inv. 4186 Printing $636.44
8/24/2010 Connolly Printing, LLC
17B Gill Street Woburn, MA 01801 Inv. 4318 mailing $5,671.06

I work in printing and am a little familiar with Connolly, their service and quality. I am not familiar with MAD DOG so I looked them up and on their WEB SITE found the attached. It reads in part:

TARGETING

“Because we feel it is vital to give our candidates options,Mad Dog Mailing has formed a partnership with National Research a data collection and management company, to conduct cutting-edge, advanced targeting studies like CHAID analysis, turnout probability modeling or individual targeting analysis.

These advanced statistical methodologies can allow campaigns to save money by more specifically targeting the groups and individuals they need to persuade and turnout on Election Day.”

So in my opinion Chris Doherty can say that he did not “commission a Push Poll” but you would have to surmise that his Direct Mailing Group did commission the poll to ” conduct cutting-edge advanced targeting studies.”

So while he may have “Plausible Deniability” in the fact that he never straight out commissioned a poll, the poll was no doubt done to help his campaign and his mailings.

He should have been straight forward and said that. If he explained that his direct mail group was doing this and that once he found out he asked them to stop because he disagreed with the wording, he would have come off this issue looking better.

Instead he stumbled and fumbled on WCAP when directly asked about having “ANY” involvement. It makes it look like he was embarrassed and trying to hide the fact his campaign was connected to this poll. It was a mis-step that could and should have been easily explained and dropped. Instead it will allow Donoghue supporters to question how Chris will react under pressure and if he will be the typical Barry Finegold like politician, side-stepping the tough questions and avoiding issues he doesn’t want to deal with.